Selenium for Cardiovascular Disease
For people who are not selenium-deficient, selenium supplements do not lower the risk of heart attack, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The evidence runs against any cardioprotective claim, and high doses carry their own harms.
Why this grade7-layer evidence engine
This earns a Counter-Evidence grade because the highest-quality evidence is consistently negative on hard cardiovascular outcomes. A Cochrane systematic review of 12 trials (PMID 23440843, n=19,715) found no effect on all-cause mortality (RR 0.97), cardiovascular mortality (RR 0.97), or total CVD events (RR 1.03). The largest single trial, SELECT (PMID 19066370, n=35,533), showed no cardioprotective signal, and the pooled randomized data in an earlier meta-analysis (PMID 17023702) were also non-significant (RR 0.89), with its authors explicitly advising against selenium for CVD prevention.
Short-term lipid changes do not rescue the picture. A six-month trial (PMID 21576533) reported a small dose-dependent drop in total cholesterol, but a five-year trial in older adults (PMID 26420334) found no lasting effect on the lipid profile. These are surrogate markers that did not translate into fewer cardiovascular events.
There is also a real safety concern: a secondary analysis of the NPC trial (PMID 17620655) found selenium raised type 2 diabetes incidence (HR 1.55), a major cardiovascular risk factor, especially in people who already had ample selenium. Regulators and clinicians agree, with Harvard Health stating trials have not shown selenium reduces CVD or cardiac death, the American Heart Association advising against antioxidant supplements, and WHO endorsing selenium only for Keshan-disease prevention in genuinely deficient regions, not general heart protection.
Scoring transparency
All scores computed by a 7-layer evidence engine — fully auditable▸View the full decision path (audit trail)
- compute_raw_score — 加權公式: L2×0.30 + L3×0.25 + L5×0.25 + L11×0.10 + L1×0.10 = 0.217
- tier_from_score — 依分數區間映射至 tier letter
- apply_hec_rules — 高品質 SR/MA 顯示 negative 主導 (2 negative > 0 positive),下層 RCT 不能推翻
- apply_hec_override — HEC-1 高階證據 negative — 強制由 U 改為 D
- tier_strict_requirement_check — Tier 條件達標,未降階
- detect_disputes — 偵測到 0 個 hard + 0 個 soft dispute
- decide_status — 依 tier + dispute 結果決定 status